Dan Beaver

Early odds list Kyle Larson as PointsBet favorite for New Hampshire

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Despite finishing worse than 15th in two consecutive races, Kyle Larson is PointsBet Sportsbook’s early odds favorite for Sunday’s Cup race at New Hampshire Motor Speedway (3 p.m. ET, NBCSN).

Early odds list him at +520 this week. Larson has not opened with odds this high in the last five weeks. By comparison, he opened at +250 last week. Larson was +900 the last time NASCAR visited a 1-mile flat track at Phoenix Raceway.

Larson finished second in both races on this flat 1-mile oval in 2017, the last year New Hampshire hosted two races. But he failed to crack the top 10 in his latest two starts in 2018 and 2019.

One way to view American Odds is to move the decimal point two positions to the left. That will let a bettor know what they will make on a $1 bet. The return on investment for +520 odds is $5.20. For bettors more comfortable with fractional odds, a line of +300 is the same as 3/1.

The next favorite is Martin Truex, Jr. at +625, who finished seventh or better in his last six New Hampshire starts. Truex is coming off a strong third-place showing at Atlanta Motor Speedway last week, which accounts for some of the traders’ confidence. Truex won the Phoenix race earlier this year with odds of +1200.

Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch are tied for third in the listing with odds of +675.

Hamlin has back-to-back second-place finishes in the two most recent races on this track. He last won at New Hampshire in July 2017.

Kyle Busch won that year’s second New Hampshire race, then finished second the following year. Last year, he crashed on Lap 15 and finished 38th.

Chase Elliott is ranked fifth with odds of +850, marking only the fifth time this season that Elliott has ranked fifth or worse. In seven previous starts at New Hampshire, Elliott has only one top-five finish. He was fifth in 2018.

Kevin Harvick continues to face long odds at +1300. He won three of the last six New Hampshire races and was fifth last year, but he has not yet visited Victory Lane in 2021 and that impacts his odds.

Last year’s New Hampshire winner, Brad Keselowski, is ranked just outside the top five with odds of +900.

Kurt Busch won last week with odds of +3300. This week, he is listed at +2800, which is the fifth-best line he has seen at the beginning of the week this season.

Kurt Busch has three wins on this track, the most recent of which was earned in 2008. Since then, he has three top-five finishes in 22 starts.

PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner, and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links.

Dan Beaver handicaps NASCAR races for NBC Sports Edge.

Early odds list Kyle Larson as PointsBet favorite for Atlanta

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As NASCAR heads back to Atlanta Motor Speedway for the second time in 2021, Kyle Larson is PointsBet Sportsbook’s early odds favorite for Sunday’s Cup race (3:30 p.m. ET, NBCSN).

Larson’s early odds for this weekend are +250. He was the second favorite in Atlanta’s first race, but with a significantly different line of +625.

His current low odds are reflective of seven results of first or second in the last nine races. Larson also finished second at Atlanta in March.

One way to view American Odds is to move the decimal point two positions to the left. That will let a bettor know what they will make on a $1 bet. The return on investment for +250 odds is $2.50. For bettors more comfortable with fractional odds, a line of +300 is the same as 3/1.

The next favorite is Kyle Busch, who enters the weekend with three top-fives and another pair of top-10s in the last six Atlanta races. He is listed at +800 this week.

Atlanta is not the only 1.5-mile track on which Busch shines. His last eight races on this track type have netted two wins at Texas last October and Kansas this past May, as well as a perfect record of top-10 finishes.

Chase Elliott is ranked third with odds of +900. He is coming off last week’s victory at Road America and will race in front of the hometown crowd, but has only one top five finish on this track in six previous starts. He finished fifth in his sophomore season of 2017.

Denny Hamlin and Kevin Harvick are tied for fourth in this week’s rankings with a line of +1000.

Both Hamlin and Harvick are still looking for their first wins of the season after combining for 16 victories last year. Hamlin scored five wins in the first 20 races of 2020; Harvick had four.

Hamlin’s best efforts on 1.5-mile tracks so far in 2021 netted fourth-place finishes at Las Vegas and Atlanta. Last year, two of his victories came on this track type at Homestead and Kansas.

Harvick was the favorite for the spring Atlanta race with odds of +580. He finished 10th in that race. His best showing on a 1.5-mile track this year was second at Kansas. One of his 2020 wins came at Atlanta.

Just outside the top five are two drivers listed at +1100, Martin Truex, Jr. and Ryan Blaney.

Blaney won this spring’s Atlanta race when he was listed at +1600. Since then on 1.5-mile tracks, he’s finished 21st at Kansas and 13th at Charlotte.

Truex finished ninth in the spring Atlanta race and has only one top-five finish in five races on this track type so far in 2021.

Another recent Atlanta winner also faces long odds for the Quaker State 400. Brad Keselowski won the 2019 Atlanta race, but with three results outside the top 10 in five 1.5-mile races this year, he is listed at +1200 this week.

An interesting dark horse this week is Alex Bowman. He opened the week with a line of +1800 and is ranked outside the top 10. He finished third in the March Atlanta race.

PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner, and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links.

Dan Beaver handicaps NASCAR races for NBC Sports Edge.

Early odds list Chase Elliott as PointsBet favorite for Road America

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As the NASCAR Cup series heads back to a road course, Chase Elliott is once again listed as PointsBet Sportsbooks’ early odds favorite for the Jockey Made in America 250 at Road America (2:30 p.m. ET Sunday on NBC).

Elliott’s odds for the Cup race at Road America are listed at +260, which is the worst he has opened in three road course races this year. Elliott has been favorite for all three races. He opened at +195 on the Daytona International Speedway road course, +240 at the Circuit of the Americas and +250 at Sonoma Raceway.

Elliott won the inaugural race at COTA and finished second at Sonoma. In the last seven road course races, he has five wins.

One way to view American Odds is to move the decimal point two positions to the left. That will let a bettor know what they will make on a $1 bet. The return on investment for +260 odds is $2.60. For bettors more comfortable with fractional odds, a line of +300 is the same as 3/1.

The next favorite is Kyle Larson, who last week saw a streak of three consecutive points wins end at Pocono Raceway. Larson was leading on the final lap of Saturday’s race of the doubleheader before cutting a tire and hitting the wall. Despite the damage, he finished ninth. Larson rebounded the next day to finish second in Sunday’s race at Pocono, which gives him seven results of first or second in the last eight races.

One of Larson’s top-two finishes was a victory at Sonoma. This week, he is listed with +360 odds.

Martin Truex Jr. is ranked third. Truex won three road course races from 2017-19 and finished second in two other events. In 2020, he finished third on the Daytona road course and was seventh on the Charlotte Motor Speedway Roval, but he got off to a slow start this year with results outside the top 10 in the first two road course races. He rebounded to finish third at Sonoma. Truex is listed at +625.

On Sunday, Kyle Busch became the first driver not racing for Hendrick Motorsports to win in the last seven weeks. Busch has four road course wins to his credit – the most recent coming in 2015 at Sonoma. He is listed with +900 odds.

Rounding out the top five this week is Joey Logano with a +1300. He enters the weekend with a four-race streak of top fives on road courses and six straight top 10s.

In three races on this track type in 2021 there have been three winners. Christopher Bell was the surprise victor at Daytona where he had +6000 odds. He did not crack the top 20 at either COTA or Sonoma and is listed at +4000 at Road America.

A.J. Allmendinger will make his third Cup start this season after finishing seventh at Daytona and fifth at COTA. His odds to win are +2800.

Another part time driver of note is Austin Cindric, who ran well early at COTA before slipping to 25th. He is listed with odds of +4000.

PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner, and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links.

Dan Beaver handicaps NASCAR races for NBC Edge.

Early odds list Kyle Larson as PointsBet favorite for Pocono

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As he continues to accumulate victories, Kyle Larson is once more PointsBet Sportsbook’s early odds favorite for Saturday’s Pocono Organics CBD 325 at Pocono Raceway (3 p.m. ET, NBCSN).

This is the fourth time in the last five weeks that Larson has been favored. He was ranked fourth on the road course of Sonoma Raceway. Bettors have cashed in on Larson for the past three Cup races weeks and in the NASCAR All-Star race. Larson’s odds for the first race of a doubleheader at Pocono are listed at +240. Odds for the second race will not be available until the completion of Race 1.

One way to view American Odds is to move the decimal point two positions to the left. That will let a bettor know what they will make on a $1 bet. The return on investment for +240 odds is $2.40. For bettors more comfortable with fractional odds, a line of +300 is the same as 3/1.

Last week Larson scored his third consecutive victory. If he can win again Saturday, he joins a list of eight drivers with four straight during the Modern Era that began in 1972. The most recent time a driver won four consecutive races was Jimmie Johnson in 2007. Johnson went on to win the championship that year.

The next favorite is Denny Hamlin, who finished second on Saturday in last year’s doubleheader and won on Sunday. This week he is listed at +775 despite failing to win a race through the first 17 events. Hamlin is the current points leader, but he saw Larson trim the deficit from 47 to 10 points at Nashville Superspeedway.

Kyle Busch is ranked third at +850. Busch won three of the last seven races at Pocono, but crashed and failed to finish in last year’s Sunday race.

The winner of Pocono’s other race in 2020, Kevin Harvick, is one of two drivers ranked fourth with odds of +900. Harvick won last year’s Saturday race and finished in the runner-up position to Hamlin in last year’s Sunday race. In his last nine Pocono attempts, Harvick has scored seven top fives and a sixth-place finish.

William Byron also has a line of +900. Byron enters Pocono with a four-race streak of top fives on oval tracks. Last week he was third at Nashville Superspeedway.

After being penalized last week at Nashville for having five loose lug nuts, Chase Elliott has relatively long odds of +1100. Elliott has not won at Pocono and has only three top fives in 10 starts. But team owner Rick Hendrick has been successful on this track with 17 wins among six drivers.

Martin Truex, Jr. also is listed at +1100. He has two victories at Pocono, the most recent coming in 2018.

The fourth Hendrick Motorsports driver, Alex Bowman is listed with +2000 odds. Bowman has only one top five and two top 10s in 10 starts. He was ninth last year in the Sunday race.

PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner, and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links.

Dan Beaver handicaps NASCAR races for NBC Edge.

Kyle Larson favored to win NASCAR Cup title by PointsBet

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Kyle Larson‘s odds of winning the NASCAR Cup Series championship improved by more than 66 percent, as every title contender has experienced a line move at PointsBet Sportsbook since the beginning of the season.

With the All-Star Race in the books, Larson is the current favorite to win the championship at +380.

Heading to a new team, with uncertainty surrounding how Larson would adjust after missing most of 2020, he opened the season at +1200.

Larson remained there for three weeks until he scored his first win at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. One win has been enough to qualify for the playoffs since NASCAR implemented its current format and Larson’s odds dropped dramatically to +775.

Larson became the favorite to win the championship after winning the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

One way to view American Odds is to move the decimal point two positions to the left. That will let a bettor know what they will make on a $1 bet. The return on investment for +380 odds is $3.80. For bettors more comfortable with fractional odds, a line of +300 is the same as 3/1.

Chase Elliott is tied for second with Martin Truex Jr. at +600.

Elliott was the favorite for the first 13 races with odds as low as +550. Beginning the week after the May 16 Dover race, he lost his primacy and fell to fourth with odds at +750.

Elliott’s win at Circuit of the Americas, second-place finishes in the last two points races, and a third-place finish in the All-Star Race brought him back to +600.

Truex began the season as the fifth-ranked driver with odds of +650. Oddsmakers quickly added points to his line and he was +900 when the series rolled out of Daytona. He assumed the role of favorite for a period of two weeks following Dover and COTA.

At +550, Denny Hamlin was co-favorite to win the championship before cars took to the track in Daytona. Following the All-Star Race, he is ranked fourth at +700.

Hamlin is the only driver among the top five without a victory. But if he maintains his points lead, he would make the playoffs as the regular-season champion, even if there are 16 or more winners.

Kyle Busch rounds out the top five at +750. He opened the season at +900.

Four drivers began the season at +550 and an equal chance to win the championship, according to PointsBet. In addition to Elliott and Hamlin, Kevin Harvick and Brad Keselowski were co-favored.

But as the season progressed, oddsmakers lost confidence in Harvick. Without a win to his credit, his line is double what he saw in preseason. Harvick is currently ranked eighth at +1100.

Despite his Talladega Superspeedway win, Keselowski has followed a similar progression and is currently listed at +1000.

PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner, and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links.

Dan Beaver handicaps NASCAR races for NBC Sports Edge.