That will be determined Sunday at Phoenix International Raceway as six drivers try to lock up one of the final two spots. That includes the last two Sprint Cup Series champions, Kyle Busch (2015) and Kevin Harvick (2014).
Harvick and his teammate, Kurt Busch, are at the bottom of the Chase grid.
Here are the clinch scenarios for the Can-Am 500:
Joey Logano (0 wins, 4074 points) – Would clinch on points with a second-place finish and at least one lap led. Would also clinch a spot with a win.
Kyle Busch (0 wins, 4074 points) – Would clinch on points with a second-place finish and the most laps led. Would also clinch a spot with a win.
Matt Kenseth (0 wins, 4073 points), Denny Hamlin (0 wins, 4072 points), Kevin Harvick (0 wins, 4056 points), and Kurt Busch (0 wins, 4040 points) can only guarantee a spot with a win. They could also clinch on points but would need help.